Oct 31, 2021Some Thoughts on VirginiaWith polling places opening for Election Day in Virginia in less than 48 hours from when I write this, I wanted to share my thoughts on what I’m seeing in the various data indicators we have at our disposal. The short (and overly trite) version is that… it’s likely to…Elections4 min readElections4 min read
Oct 27, 2021Here’s What TargetSmart Stands ForWorking in politics, longevity is measured in 2-year cycles. Spending more than one cycle in a job is rare. In that way I’ve been lucky. I got my first job in politics at the age of 19, working at the original progressive data organization, the National Committee for an Effective…3 min read3 min read
Jun 30, 2021Youth Vote and The Most Consequential ElectionThe 2020 US election was anticipated as the most consequential in US history. The Capitol insurrection attempt on January 6th and subsequent GOP efforts to minimize the seriousness of the event while continuing to undermine the legitimacy of the election suggests that the ’22 midterms could surpass the importance of…Elections3 min readElections3 min read
Jan 22, 2021The Future of Mail VotingAt the outset of this pandemic, it was unclear as to how our damaged voting systems could adapt to this historic challenge and allow Americans to participate safely in this election. Many expected that voter the pandemic would depress voter turnout. In the end, this country set a record for…Elections3 min readElections3 min read
Nov 18, 2020How Georgia Turned BlueHistoric Surges in Turnout Among Voters of Color and Young Voters Deliver the Peach State for Biden As the hand recount in Georgia continues, and it appears almost certain that Joe Biden’s lead of close to 14,000 votes will hold up, we turn our focus to gaining a better understanding…Politics3 min readPolitics3 min read
Nov 13, 2020The Unheralded Voting Bloc of 2020An Assessment of the AAPI Vote in the 2020 Presidential Election As the last remaining votes of the 2020 general election are counted and the legal challenges continue, we’ve begun the work of digging through the available data to better understand what happened. This work will continue for the next…Politics3 min readPolitics3 min read
Sep 2, 2020Early and Mail Balloting in the 2020 Election — Analysis and ReportingOn September 18th, voting will begin in the 2020 general election. On that date, a few states will allow voters to begin casting their ballots. From that point onward, more and more states will open early and mail balloting. Every single state and the District of Columbia will afford some…7 min read7 min read
Aug 20, 2020The GOP’s Claims About a Voter Registration Advantage in PA Aren’t True. Here are the Facts.By Tom Bonier As Joe Biden prepares to address the nation as the Democratic nominee, Donald Trump is attempting to steal the spotlight with his own speech outside of Scranton, Pennsylvania. It’s no surprise the Trump campaign chose this location. Pennsylvania is a must win state for the President. He…4 min read4 min read
Mar 22, 2019TargetSmart Analysis Shows Shift to a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in ArizonaA new TargetSmart analysis reveals a shift toward a younger and more diverse electorate in Arizona, solidifying its status as an emergent swing state ahead of the 2020 election. The analysis finds that more than a third of voters of color were under 24 years old, suggesting the potential for…Politics3 min readPolitics3 min read
Mar 22, 2019TargetSmart Analysis Shows Strength of a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in TexasFollowing an electrifying Senate race where Beto O’Rourke’s campaign nearly claimed Ted Cruz’s Senate seat, an energized youth vote may spell trouble for Donald Trump, John Cornyn, and vulnerable House Republicans in 2020. …Politics4 min readPolitics4 min read
