With polling places opening for Election Day in Virginia in less than 48 hours from when I write this, I wanted to share my thoughts on what I’m seeing in the various data indicators we have at our disposal.

The short (and overly trite) version is that… it’s likely to…

Working in politics, longevity is measured in 2-year cycles. Spending more than one cycle in a job is rare. In that way I’ve been lucky. I got my first job in politics at the age of 19, working at the original progressive data organization, the National Committee for an Effective…

The 2020 US election was anticipated as the most consequential in US history. The Capitol insurrection attempt on January 6th and subsequent GOP efforts to minimize the seriousness of the event while continuing to undermine the legitimacy of the election suggests that the ’22 midterms could surpass the importance of…

At the outset of this pandemic, it was unclear as to how our damaged voting systems could adapt to this historic challenge and allow Americans to participate safely in this election. Many expected that voter the pandemic would depress voter turnout.

In the end, this country set a record for…

Historic Surges in Turnout Among Voters of Color and Young Voters Deliver the Peach State for Biden

As the hand recount in Georgia continues, and it appears almost certain that Joe Biden’s lead of close to 14,000 votes will hold up, we turn our focus to gaining a better understanding…

An Assessment of the AAPI Vote in the 2020 Presidential Election

As the last remaining votes of the 2020 general election are counted and the legal challenges continue, we’ve begun the work of digging through the available data to better understand what happened. This work will continue for the next…

Tom Bonier

CEO @TargetSmart, https://targetsmart.com/, Adjunct Lecturer @ Howard University, Formerly @ClarityCampaigns and @NCEC1948

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